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The Silent Dependency: GNSS Vulnerabilities, Quantum PNT, and the Future of Small Wars

The December 2024 shootdown of Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8243—reportedly preceded by GPS jamming—marks what peer-reviewed journal GPS Solutions calls the first civilian deaths directly attributable to GPS radio-frequency interference. As GNSS jamming and spoofing have expanded across Ukraine, the Baltic, and the Mediterranean, quantum positioning, navigation, and timing (quantum PNT) technology is maturing toward operational deployment within a decade. The strategic gap between proven GNSS vulnerability and available quantum alternatives defines the most urgent doctrinal challenge facing small-wars practitioners today.

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Source: Small Wars Journal

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